Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UIC +138 UNI -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -0.4 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -1.6 (+7.6) | 136.9 (-0.9) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -0.2 (+5.8) | 136.5 (-0.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -0.3 (+6.3) | 137.3 (-1.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -0.4 (+6.4) | 138.4 (-2.4) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UNI 84 – 69 UIC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UIC 69 – 61 UNI |
| Dec 17, 2025 | UNI 60 – 54 UIC |
| Feb 27, 2025 | UNI 74 – 52 UIC |
| Dec 5, 2024 | UNI 83 – 56 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-9 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#185) | 2.7 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#255) | 0.81 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#214) | 0.90 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#239) | 0.550 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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