Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | UIC +200 UNI -245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +6 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -4.1 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -4.1 (-1.9) | 133.1 (-19.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -4.0 (-2.0) | 132.8 (-18.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -4.1 (-1.9) | 132.6 (-18.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -4.8 (-1.2) | 132.3 (-18.3) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UNI 84 – 69 UIC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UIC 69 – 61 UNI |
| Feb 27, 2025 | UNI 74 – 52 UIC |
| Dec 5, 2024 | UNI 83 – 56 UIC |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UIC 71 – 65 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 62.5 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#191) | 6.7 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#266) | 1.09 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#238) | 1.14 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#273) | 0.553 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 33.5% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 61.3% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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