Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -380 UIC +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +22 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -7.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -6.7 (+15.3) | 145.3 (-19.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -6.2 (+15.8) | 142.5 (-16.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -6.3 (+15.7) | 144.8 (-18.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -6.3 (+15.7) | 143.9 (-17.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UNI 84 – 69 UIC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UIC 69 – 61 UNI |
| Dec 17, 2025 | UNI 60 – 54 UIC |
| Dec 5, 2024 | UNI 83 – 56 UIC |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UIC 71 – 65 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#95) | 1.0 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#92) | 0.46 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#102) | 0.53 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#78) | 0.532 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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