Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | WASH +650 MICH -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +10 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -16.2 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -11.8 (+1.8) | 154.3 (-0.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -10.6 (+0.6) | 151.3 (+2.7) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -11.7 (+1.7) | 154.9 (-0.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -13.0 (+3.0) | 158.3 (-4.3) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 12, 2025 | MICH 91 – 75 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 37-3 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 19-1 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 11-0 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 12-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W6 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 87.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#48) | 31.4 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#69) | 4.28 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#60) | 6.27 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#67) | 0.703 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 52.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 43.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 60.1% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 41.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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