Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -1600 WASH +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +16 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -20.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -14.0 (+2.0) | 151.6 (+14.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -15.7 (+0.3) | 151.3 (+14.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -17.0 (-1.0) | 151.6 (+14.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -16.5 (-0.5) | 151.9 (+14.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | MICH 82 – 72 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-9 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 20.8 (#10) | 4.5 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#22) | 1.06 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.44 (#14) | 1.51 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.657 (#11) | 0.534 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.2% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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