Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -950 TCU +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -12.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -11.4 (-5.4) | 154.6 (-8.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -13.5 (-7.5) | 151.4 (-5.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -13.0 (-7.0) | 150.9 (-4.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -13.5 (-7.5) | 153.6 (-7.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2025 | TCU 71 – 67 BYU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BYU 87 – 75 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-5 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 21.4 (#9) | 12.5 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.65 (#5) | 1.90 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.32 (#6) | 3.27 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.677 (#6) | 0.527 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.