Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -455 NMSU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +2 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -6.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -6.9 (-4.9) | 142.8 (+1.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -7.5 (-5.5) | 141.6 (+2.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -7.3 (-5.3) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -7.3 (-5.3) | 142.4 (+1.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | LIB 77 – 75 NMSU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | LIB 64 – 54 NMSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | LIB 68 – 60 NMSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | LIB 83 – 58 NMSU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | NMSU 79 – 73 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 11-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#101) | 2.2 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#70) | 0.21 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#73) | 0.43 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#43) | 0.518 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 35.5% |
Game Analysis
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