Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -305 MOST +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +15 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -7.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -5.8 (+9.2) | 147.1 (+11.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -3.7 (+11.3) | 143.7 (+15.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -4.0 (+11.0) | 144.0 (+15.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -4.3 (+10.7) | 146.6 (+12.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MOST 87 – 74 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#143) | -2.5 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#150) | -0.15 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#146) | -0.16 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#137) | 0.487 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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