Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | PSU +180 UCLA -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +11 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -2.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -3.4 (-7.6) | 146.6 (-15.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCLA -2.4 (-8.6) | 144.0 (-13.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCLA -2.5 (-8.5) | 145.5 (-14.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -2.6 (-8.4) | 145.7 (-14.7) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | UCLA 78 – 54 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-8 | 17-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#104) | 11.3 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#128) | 1.86 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#134) | 2.29 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#126) | 0.551 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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