I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
UCLA Bruins
78 54
FINAL Conference
Penn State Nittany Lions
Big Ten Conference · Pauley Pavilion · February 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UCLA -10.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money UCLA -700 / PSU +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual UCLA +24 132 Won
Massey UCLA -7.7 (+16.3)
Massey Totals 143.4 (-11.4)
Bradley-Terry 90%
Weighted B-T 90%
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -8.6 (+15.4) 143.3 (-11.3) 81%
Model 4 ML UCLA -8.0 (+16.0) 140.7 (-8.7) 83%
Model 3 ML UCLA -7.9 (+16.1) 142.2 (-10.2) 80%
Baseline ML UCLA -8.4 (+15.6) 142.7 (-10.7) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 15, 2026 UCLA 7160 PSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UCLA PSU
Overall 23-11 16-15
Conference 13-7 6-14
Home 15-2 11-6
Away 5-5 3-8
Neutral 3-4 2-1
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 74.2 79.1
Avg Pts Against 65.2 73.2
Massey 16.4 (#26) 11.8 (#49)
Bradley-Terry 2.73 (#28) 1.12 (#84)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.35 (#31) 1.84 (#70)
RPI 0.603 (#33) 0.529 (#126)
Shooting & Four Factors UCLA PSU
FG% 46.8% 48.1%
3PT% 34.3% 34.4%
REB / G 32.4 34.4
OREB / G 10.6 10.2
AST / TO 1.43 1.39
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.0% 54.1%
TOV% 16.2% 16.5%
ORB% 32.2% 30.1%
FT Rate 24.4% 28.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.7% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 24.1% 21.2%
DRB% 70.8% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 27.1% 21.0%

Game Analysis

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