Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -115 SHSU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +15 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -3.9 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -2.6 (-12.4) | 144.5 (-5.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -1.8 (-13.2) | 142.6 (-3.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -2.1 (-12.9) | 143.9 (-4.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -1.9 (-13.1) | 145.1 (-6.1) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SHSU 82 – 78 JXST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SHSU 66 – 61 JXST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JXST 70 – 62 SHSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SHSU 81 – 73 JXST |
| Feb 9, 2024 | JXST 79 – 68 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-7 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#226) | 3.7 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#245) | 0.38 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#232) | 0.57 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#244) | 0.533 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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