Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -360 KC +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +16 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -8.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (+22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -6.5 (+9.5) | 151.1 (+30.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -6.2 (+9.8) | 150.3 (+31.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -6.7 (+9.3) | 151.8 (+30.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -7.3 (+8.7) | 151.3 (+30.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SDAK 82 – 75 KC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDAK 79 – 72 KC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | KC 68 – 54 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | KC 82 – 78 SDAK |
| Jan 28, 2024 | KC 81 – 57 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 1-15 |
| Home | 12-5 | 3-11 |
| Away | 3-10 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.7 | 84.8 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#273) | -11.8 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#235) | -2.79 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#221) | -3.29 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#281) | 0.376 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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