Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK -145 KC +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -2.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -1.2 (+5.8) | 154.3 (-3.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -2.0 (+5.0) | 150.4 (+0.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -2.3 (+4.7) | 153.5 (-2.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -1.1 (+5.9) | 154.4 (-3.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SDAK 82 – 75 KC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SDAK 99 – 83 KC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | KC 68 – 54 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | KC 82 – 78 SDAK |
| Jan 28, 2024 | KC 81 – 57 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 4-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 86.6 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#243) | -4.2 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#218) | -1.46 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#242) | -1.44 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#223) | 0.432 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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