And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Summit League · Sanford Coyote Sports Center · February 14, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SDAK -2.5 Home covered
O/U 157.5 Under
Money SDAK -145 / KC +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total SDAK win
Actual SDAK +7 151 Won
Massey SDAK -2.5 (+4.5) — —
Massey Totals — 159.6 (-8.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 75% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SDAK -1.1 (+5.9) 154.4 (-3.4) 60% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SDAK -1.2 (+5.8) 154.3 (-3.3) 50% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SDAK -2.0 (+5.0) 150.4 (+0.6) 61% ✓
Baseline ML SDAK -2.3 (+4.7) 153.5 (-2.5) 61% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2026 SDAK 82 – 75 KC
Jan 16, 2026 SDAK 99 – 83 KC
Jan 3, 2025 KC 68 – 54 SDAK
Feb 23, 2024 KC 82 – 78 SDAK
Jan 28, 2024 KC 81 – 57 SDAK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SDAK KC
Overall 19-14 13-20
Conference 9-7 4-12
Home 14-2 9-5
Away 4-11 2-12
Neutral 1-1 1-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 84.4 67.7
Avg Pts Against 86.6 70.3
Massey -4.8 (#243) -4.2 (#233)
Bradley-Terry -0.52 (#218) -1.46 (#301)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.01 (#242) -1.44 (#276)
RPI 0.476 (#223) 0.432 (#299)
Shooting & Four Factors SDAK KC
FG% 45.0% 41.1%
3PT% 31.5% 33.2%
REB / G 35.3 32.7
OREB / G 12.1 10.5
AST / TO 1.17 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.7% 48.7%
TOV% 13.2% 18.3%
ORB% 31.3% 31.7%
FT Rate 32.9% 25.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.2% 52.2%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 17.6%
DRB% 62.9% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.8% 26.3%

Game Analysis

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