Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | KC +120 SDAK -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +7 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | SDAK -4.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -4.6 (-2.4) | 153.8 (+3.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -3.3 (-3.7) | 151.2 (+5.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -4.1 (-2.9) | 150.1 (+6.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -4.2 (-2.8) | 153.2 (+3.8) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | SDAK 99 – 83 KC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDAK 79 – 72 KC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | KC 68 – 54 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | KC 82 – 78 SDAK |
| Jan 28, 2024 | KC 81 – 57 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 8-8 |
| Home | 3-11 | 12-5 |
| Away | 1-15 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 81.7 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#350) | -7.8 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.27 (#358) | -1.00 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.81 (#356) | -1.20 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.370 (#358) | 0.418 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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