Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | KC -250 SDAK +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +24 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | KC -6.4 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -3.8 (+20.2) | 150.0 (-12.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -4.6 (+19.4) | 147.0 (-9.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -4.3 (+19.7) | 148.1 (-10.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -4.2 (+19.8) | 150.4 (-12.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SDAK 82 – 75 KC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SDAK 99 – 83 KC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDAK 79 – 72 KC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | KC 68 – 54 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | KC 82 – 78 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-9 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 81.5 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#275) | -8.8 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#304) | -1.22 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#292) | -1.64 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#306) | 0.420 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 12.6% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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