Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK +150 KC -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +4 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -2.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -2.5 (-1.5) | 150.0 (+10.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -3.5 (-0.5) | 148.1 (+11.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -2.6 (-1.4) | 148.2 (+11.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -2.4 (-1.6) | 148.0 (+12.0) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SDAK 82 – 75 KC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SDAK 99 – 83 KC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDAK 79 – 72 KC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | KC 68 – 54 SDAK |
| Jan 28, 2024 | KC 81 – 57 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 10-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.5 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#319) | -4.3 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#314) | -1.11 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#317) | -1.13 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#332) | 0.441 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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