Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Over |
| Money | KENT -238 TOL +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +3 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -3.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -2.1 (+0.9) | 161.0 (+10.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -4.3 (-1.3) | 158.4 (+12.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -2.4 (+0.6) | 159.8 (+11.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -2.6 (+0.4) | 159.5 (+11.5) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | KENT 75 – 72 TOL |
| Feb 26, 2025 | KENT 105 – 65 TOL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | KENT 83 – 64 TOL |
| Mar 14, 2024 | KENT 67 – 59 TOL |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TOL 86 – 71 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.2 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#161) | 0.2 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#93) | 0.36 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#99) | 0.57 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#64) | 0.533 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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