Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | KENT -300 TOL +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +40 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -8.2 (+31.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -5.8 (+34.2) | 147.1 (+22.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -6.4 (+33.6) | 146.3 (+23.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -6.4 (+33.6) | 146.8 (+23.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -5.8 (+34.2) | 146.6 (+23.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | KENT 75 – 72 TOL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | KENT 87 – 84 TOL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | KENT 83 – 64 TOL |
| Mar 14, 2024 | KENT 67 – 59 TOL |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TOL 86 – 71 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 10-6 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 81.1 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#137) | -3.4 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#122) | 0.22 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#144) | -0.12 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#88) | 0.533 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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