This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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96–28 on winners spread MAE 9.4 124 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Manhattan @ Canisius -6.4 151.4 24% 77–72 ✓
Davidson @ VCU +13.9 138.3 88% 56–80 ✓
Princeton @ Columbia -1.4 146.5 41% 73–68 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Cornell +9.6 156.1 82% 62–90 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac +7.1 135.8 77% 64–69 ✓
Marist @ Sacred Heart +0.1 141.2 49% 54–67 ✓
Rider @ Merrimack +8.9 128.2 76% 83–78 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Fairfield -2.4 139.1 43% 62–69 ✗
Old Dominion @ Coastal Carolina +1.9 141.6 59% 61–59 ✗
Arkansas State @ UL Monroe -15.2 148.7 13% 94–67 ✓
UCLA @ Purdue +4.5 139.4 73% 66–76 ✓
James Madison @ Texas State +0.5 147.5 51% 93–102 ✓
Georgia State @ Georgia Southern +2.6 153.4 71% 75–76 ✓
Troy @ Southern Miss -7.5 143.0 23% 70–58 ✓
Louisiana @ South Alabama +11.5 136.4 87% 42–65 ✓
Iowa @ Northwestern +6.3 152.8 77% 57–68 ✓
App State @ Marshall +1.0 134.6 61% 57–75 ✓
Kent State @ Akron +3.7 152.7 70% 72–77 ✓
Nevada @ UNLV +1.5 134.3 59% 55–68 ✓
Clemson @ Virginia -6.5 136.2 25% 71–58 ✓
Maryland @ Penn State -3.6 152.6 35% 68–64 ✓
Miami @ North Carolina +17.5 163.6 89% 73–92 ✓
Syracuse @ Virginia Tech +1.7 144.2 63% 95–101 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Fordham -7.3 147.5 22% 90–76 ✓
American University @ Colgate +1.9 140.3 62% 67–59 ✗
UConn @ Providence -3.7 147.9 33% 75–63 ✓
Butler @ Villanova +5.6 144.7 75% 70–80 ✓
Auburn @ Kentucky -3.2 166.1 27% 94–78 ✓
Lehigh @ Army +2.8 140.5 64% 89–67 ✗
Lafayette @ Boston University +2.0 133.2 56% 64–66 ✓
Chicago State @ Saint Francis +9.5 145.7 84% 71–80 ✓
Binghamton @ UMass Lowell +3.8 150.1 68% 53–79 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC -0.8 139.5 30% 79–69 ✓
Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky +0.2 145.6 53% 79–88 ✓
Arkansas @ South Carolina -2.5 142.4 43% 53–72 ✗
Chattanooga @ VMI -7.4 150.2 27% 91–70 ✓
East Tennessee State @ The Citadel -13.0 133.6 13% 81–66 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Ohio +1.9 157.1 62% 66–75 ✓
Texas Tech @ Kansas +1.8 147.9 61% 78–73 ✗
Longwood @ South Carolina Upstate -5.9 157.9 32% 83–66 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Presbyterian +3.7 145.3 72% 57–68 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Radford +9.2 141.5 84% 60–76 ✓
Tulane @ Tulsa -3.2 141.5 37% 79–77 ✓
George Mason @ Duquesne -3.1 130.4 32% 68–85 ✗
Richmond @ Dayton +13.0 143.7 87% 64–74 ✓
Air Force @ New Mexico +20.5 145.8 91% 71–92 ✓
Bucknell @ Holy Cross -3.3 146.0 33% 94–81 ✓
Minnesota @ Nebraska +7.9 135.2 75% 67–65 ✗
Bryant @ Maine +0.1 145.4 49% 80–72 ✗
UAlbany @ NJIT -3.9 143.9 29% 86–59 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Hofstra +8.2 129.2 80% 49–70 ✓
Monmouth @ Drexel +4.4 135.4 73% 61–71 ✓
Northeastern @ William & Mary +2.0 148.8 62% 70–68 ✗
Oklahoma @ Ole Miss +6.3 153.0 76% 84–87 ✓
Furman @ Wofford +2.1 143.0 55% 78–75 ✗
Ball State @ Bowling Green +0.3 146.3 53% 52–61 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Florida International -4.1 133.9 34% 84–79 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Omaha +9.8 155.8 85% 57–80 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's +19.0 135.4 91% 61–71 ✓
Norfolk State @ South Carolina State +1.7 148.7 59% 88–91 ✓
Wright State @ IU Indianapolis -2.5 154.1 45% 84–91 ✗
NC State @ Georgia Tech +3.8 142.3 71% 62–87 ✓
Abilene Christian @ UT Arlington +3.3 142.2 63% 70–59 ✗
South Dakota State @ Denver -9.3 147.9 22% 62–78 ✗
Incarnate Word @ East Texas A&M -3.0 134.6 33% 75–68 ✓
LSU @ Mississippi State +8.1 151.9 83% 69–81 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Alabama State +9.9 145.8 84% 52–94 ✓
Alabama @ Tennessee +4.5 154.4 71% 76–79 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Winthrop +4.4 160.4 72% 90–103 ✓
UCF @ TCU +4.8 147.2 68% 78–89 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Saint Louis +1.8 144.1 58% 67–98 ✓
Morgan State @ Maryland Eastern Shore -3.2 147.9 33% 75–72 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State +1.9 151.0 63% 66–93 ✓
Texas Southern @ Jackson State +3.8 144.2 68% 52–67 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Navy +4.2 136.1 72% 68–81 ✓
Yale @ Harvard -10.0 146.1 21% 69–74 ✗
USC @ Oregon +7.4 152.8 83% 61–82 ✓
Long Island University @ Fairleigh Dickinson +1.8 135.7 57% 74–55 ✗
Brown @ Dartmouth +2.9 143.2 64% 58–78 ✓
Montana State @ Sacramento State -5.3 133.3 28% 87–60 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Milwaukee +13.2 146.0 88% 67–89 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State +0.9 148.6 61% 57–68 ✓
Hampton @ Towson +5.2 134.0 69% 72–75 ✓
Southern Utah @ Utah Valley +12.4 142.7 87% 59–100 ✓
Samford @ UNC Greensboro +0.7 143.7 52% 100–108 ✓
Lindenwood @ Tennessee Tech +3.9 147.4 65% 76–74 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ UTEP +0.3 147.2 47% 76–75 ✗
Cincinnati @ Houston +13.4 129.0 88% 64–73 ✓
Coppin State @ Delaware State +10.1 142.6 87% 79–83 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alcorn State +8.3 142.1 84% 55–71 ✓
Le Moyne @ Stonehill +6.2 147.1 74% 79–85 ✓
Creighton @ Xavier +2.2 148.8 64% 61–83 ✓
Houston Christian @ Northwestern State +4.5 131.4 68% 56–61 ✓
Western Carolina @ Mercer +9.5 148.6 84% 69–81 ✓
Toledo @ Buffalo -4.7 153.8 34% 74–87 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Tennessee State +7.7 147.1 80% 69–74 ✓
Morehead State @ UT Martin +4.6 135.9 70% 59–47 ✗
Little Rock @ SIU Edwardsville +2.3 137.1 62% 65–73 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Eastern Illinois -5.2 132.3 31% 58–73 ✗
Howard @ North Carolina Central +0.6 153.9 58% 68–72 ✓
SMU @ Stanford -1.7 150.3 45% 68–73 ✗
Weber State @ Idaho +4.1 143.6 69% 79–81 ✓
Montana @ Portland State +2.3 141.8 63% 76–79 ✓
Idaho State @ Eastern Washington -0.4 144.4 49% 78–54 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal Poly +2.6 160.6 69% 72–98 ✓
North Dakota @ South Dakota +5.1 165.2 77% 79–92 ✓
Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois -3.3 147.5 33% 74–70 ✓
Notre Dame @ Wake Forest +7.1 144.9 81% 71–74 ✓
Southern @ Bethune-Cookman -0.5 140.4 51% 69–70 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +2.5 142.7 63% 54–68 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Sam Houston +0.3 141.0 50% 90–66 ✗
New Orleans @ UT Rio Grande Valley +10.2 153.2 85% 78–88 ✓
Missouri @ Vanderbilt -0.6 162.0 51% 93–97 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Louisville +8.6 151.3 85% 68–79 ✓
Nicholls @ Stephen F. Austin -0.3 139.4 46% 94–70 ✓
Rhode Island @ Massachusetts +0.0 151.5 50% 88–91 ✓
La Salle @ George Washington +9.1 139.9 83% 60–71 ✓
Grambling @ Florida A&M +2.8 133.1 52% 68–73 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Columbia +3.8 152.0 65% 92–87 ✗
Indiana @ Washington -2.0 148.4 41% 78–62 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Wagner -8.1 126.1 18% 55–48 ✓
Campbell @ Charleston +6.3 143.2 79% 65–87 ✓
Elon @ Stony Brook -6.7 138.6 28% 66–71 ✗
Western Kentucky @ New Mexico State +2.7 138.8 62% 47–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.