He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
Big 12 Conference · Allen Fieldhouse · March 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread KU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money KU -170 / TTU +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual TTU +5 151 Lost
Massey KU -0.8 (-5.8)
Massey Totals 145.6 (+5.4)
Bradley-Terry 62%
Weighted B-T 56%
Efficiency Plus ML KU -1.9 (-6.9) 144.8 (+6.2) 56%
Baseline Tuned ML KU -1.5 (-6.5) 147.4 (+3.6) 56%
Baseline ML KU -1.8 (-6.8) 147.9 (+3.1) 61%
Baseline Plus ML KU -1.6 (-6.6) 146.7 (+4.3) 62%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2026 KU 6461 TTU
Feb 13, 2024 TTU 7950 KU
Mar 1, 2023 KU 6763 TTU
Jan 4, 2023 KU 7572 TTU
Mar 12, 2022 KU 7465 TTU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU TTU
Overall 21-13 28-9
Conference 11-9 15-5
Home 14-3 15-3
Away 4-8 8-2
Neutral 3-2 5-4
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.1 80.9
Avg Pts Against 69.6 68.5
Massey 17.5 (#18) 19.9 (#9)
Bradley-Terry 2.54 (#30) 2.61 (#25)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.14 (#34) 3.53 (#20)
RPI 0.619 (#17) 0.583 (#44)
Shooting & Four Factors KU TTU
FG% 47.3% 47.5%
3PT% 34.4% 37.6%
REB / G 38.6 37.0
OREB / G 10.3 11.7
AST / TO 1.55 1.57
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.2% 55.6%
TOV% 16.5% 15.8%
ORB% 29.9% 35.0%
FT Rate 16.7% 23.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.0% 47.5%
Opp TOV% 16.1% 18.3%
DRB% 72.4% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.9% 22.9%

Game Analysis

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