Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
Big 12 Conference · Allen Fieldhouse · March 1, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KU -8.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money KU -450 / TTU +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual KU +4 130 Won
Massey KU -9.6 (-5.6) — —
Massey Totals — 145.0 (-15.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KU -9.1 (-5.1) 146.0 (-16.0) 83% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KU -9.1 (-5.1) 146.0 (-16.0) 81% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KU -9.9 (-5.9) 148.2 (-18.2) 83% ✓
Baseline ML KU -8.9 (-4.9) 147.1 (-17.1) 83% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2026 KU 64 – 61 TTU
Mar 1, 2025 TTU 78 – 73 KU
Feb 13, 2024 TTU 79 – 50 KU
Jan 4, 2023 KU 75 – 72 TTU
Mar 12, 2022 KU 74 – 65 TTU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU TTU
Overall 28-8 16-16
Conference 13-5 5-13
Home 15-1 11-6
Away 7-4 3-7
Neutral 6-3 2-3
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 75.4 73.3
Avg Pts Against 68.1 69.0
Massey 16.8 (#6) 10.8 (#38)
Bradley-Terry 3.53 (#2) 1.45 (#66)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.13 (#2) 2.02 (#56)
RPI 0.654 (#2) 0.512 (#158)
Shooting & Four Factors KU TTU
FG% 47.0% 46.7%
3PT% 35.4% 34.7%
REB / G 36.5 35.0
OREB / G 10.2 10.3
AST / TO 1.39 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.9% 53.0%
TOV% 17.6% 20.0%
ORB% 29.9% 32.0%
FT Rate 21.6% 25.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 20.5% 20.5%
DRB% 71.2% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 23.2% 20.1%

Game Analysis

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