Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | KU -450 TTU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +4 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | KU -9.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -9.1 (-5.1) | 146.0 (-16.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -9.9 (-5.9) | 148.2 (-18.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -8.9 (-4.9) | 147.1 (-17.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -9.1 (-5.1) | 146.0 (-16.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | KU 64 – 61 TTU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TTU 78 – 73 KU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TTU 79 – 50 KU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | KU 75 – 72 TTU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | KU 74 – 65 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#6) | 10.8 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.53 (#2) | 1.45 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.13 (#2) | 2.02 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.654 (#2) | 0.512 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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