Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | KU -3.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -4.6 (+4.4) | 140.8 (-1.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -4.5 (+4.5) | 140.3 (-1.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -4.5 (+4.5) | 142.6 (-3.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -4.5 (+4.5) | 144.1 (-5.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | KU 64 – 61 TTU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TTU 78 – 73 KU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TTU 79 – 50 KU |
| Mar 1, 2023 | KU 67 – 63 TTU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | KU 75 – 72 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 19-1 | 18-0 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 18.5 (#6) | 17.8 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#4) | 3.07 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.19 (#3) | 3.92 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#1) | 0.587 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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