Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -180 KU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -1.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -3.8 (-6.8) | 148.4 (-23.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -3.4 (-6.4) | 148.7 (-23.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -3.0 (-6.0) | 149.9 (-24.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -3.1 (-6.1) | 150.1 (-25.1) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | TTU 78 – 73 KU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TTU 79 – 50 KU |
| Mar 1, 2023 | KU 67 – 63 TTU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | KU 75 – 72 TTU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | KU 74 – 65 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#22) | 20.0 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.60 (#13) | 3.55 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.31 (#18) | 4.43 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.663 (#6) | 0.667 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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