Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -188 KU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +29 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | KU -0.3 (+29.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -1.2 (+27.8) | 145.5 (-16.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -1.8 (+27.2) | 143.9 (-14.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -0.8 (+28.2) | 144.1 (-15.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -0.6 (+28.4) | 144.5 (-15.5) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | KU 64 – 61 TTU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TTU 78 – 73 KU |
| Mar 1, 2023 | KU 67 – 63 TTU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | KU 75 – 72 TTU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | KU 74 – 65 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#40) | 15.9 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#36) | 2.75 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#47) | 3.34 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#40) | 0.641 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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