Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -111 KU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -0.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -0.5 (-3.5) | 146.5 (+0.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -2.4 (-5.4) | 143.7 (+3.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -0.1 (-3.1) | 144.4 (+2.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -0.9 (-3.9) | 146.2 (+0.8) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | KU 64 – 61 TTU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TTU 78 – 73 KU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TTU 79 – 50 KU |
| Mar 1, 2023 | KU 67 – 63 TTU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | KU 74 – 65 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#26) | 16.1 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#90) | 4.07 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#96) | 4.91 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#152) | 0.682 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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