This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Sun Belt Conference · The HTC Center · March 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CCU -0.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money CCU -105 / ODU -115
Model Predictions
Spread Total CCU win
Actual ODU +2 120 Lost
Massey CCU -3.2 (-5.2) — —
Massey Totals — 137.4 (-17.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 56% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 54% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CCU -1.3 (-3.3) 142.9 (-22.9) 56% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CCU -0.6 (-2.6) 141.2 (-21.2) 43% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CCU -1.8 (-3.8) 139.6 (-19.6) 59% ✗
Baseline ML CCU -1.9 (-3.9) 141.6 (-21.6) 59% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 9, 2026 ODU 70 – 66 CCU
Dec 20, 2025 CCU 76 – 74 ODU
Jan 26, 2025 ODU 74 – 52 CCU
Feb 25, 2024 ODU 75 – 59 CCU
Jan 13, 2024 CCU 79 – 75 ODU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CCU ODU
Overall 10-22 15-20
Conference 3-15 8-10
Home 6-8 7-9
Away 3-13 5-7
Neutral 1-1 3-4
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 66.0 67.4
Avg Pts Against 72.2 72.8
Massey -9.7 (#320) -9.7 (#321)
Bradley-Terry -1.71 (#320) -1.39 (#297)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.12 (#318) -1.66 (#289)
RPI 0.406 (#337) 0.431 (#310)
Shooting & Four Factors CCU ODU
FG% 43.2% 39.5%
3PT% 35.3% 27.9%
REB / G 35.6 37.5
OREB / G 9.7 14.4
AST / TO 0.96 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 44.5%
TOV% 18.2% 17.0%
ORB% 28.7% 36.1%
FT Rate 23.5% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 10.7% 15.9%
DRB% 71.5% 67.9%
Opp FT Rate 27.2% 24.6%

Game Analysis

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