The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Sun Belt Conference · Chartway Arena · December 20, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread ODU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money ODU -175 / CCU +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total ODU win
Actual CCU +2 150 Lost
Massey ODU -6.3 (-8.3)
Massey Totals 145.7 (+4.3)
Bradley-Terry 54%
Weighted B-T 62%
Efficiency Plus ML ODU -3.9 (-5.9) 143.6 (+6.4) 71%
Baseline Tuned ML ODU -4.1 (-6.1) 140.1 (+9.9) 67%
Baseline ML ODU -3.8 (-5.8) 141.9 (+8.1) 64%
Baseline Plus ML ODU -4.2 (-6.2) 144.8 (+5.2) 69%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 9, 2026 ODU 7066 CCU
Mar 1, 2025 ODU 6159 CCU
Jan 26, 2025 ODU 7452 CCU
Feb 25, 2024 ODU 7559 CCU
Jan 13, 2024 CCU 7975 ODU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ODU CCU
Overall 12-21 19-13
Conference 7-11 11-7
Home 7-6 8-5
Away 4-14 10-7
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.7 71.8
Avg Pts Against 78.7 73.5
Massey -3.0 (#212) -5.0 (#246)
Bradley-Terry -0.98 (#253) -0.34 (#204)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.17 (#242) -0.77 (#218)
RPI 0.475 (#222) 0.466 (#239)
Shooting & Four Factors ODU CCU
FG% 42.3% 38.5%
3PT% 33.7% 33.0%
REB / G 33.6 38.8
OREB / G 9.3 9.5
AST / TO 1.08 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.0% 45.4%
TOV% 16.6% 14.2%
ORB% 25.8% 23.8%
FT Rate 25.5% 20.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 45.5%
Opp TOV% 14.3% 13.3%
DRB% 68.2% 72.9%
Opp FT Rate 31.0% 30.6%

Game Analysis

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