We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Sun Belt Conference · Chartway Arena · February 25, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ODU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money ODU -250 / CCU +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total ODU win
Actual ODU +16 134 Won
Massey ODU -6.0 (+10.0)
Massey Totals 151.8 (-17.8)
Bradley-Terry 65%
Weighted B-T 72%
Efficiency Plus ML ODU -5.3 (+10.7) 147.4 (-13.4) 73%
Baseline Tuned ML ODU -4.2 (+11.8) 144.5 (-10.5) 66%
Baseline ML ODU -3.8 (+12.2) 145.1 (-11.1) 67%
Baseline Plus ML ODU -4.0 (+12.0) 147.2 (-13.2) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 9, 2026 ODU 7066 CCU
Dec 20, 2025 CCU 7674 ODU
Mar 1, 2025 ODU 6159 CCU
Jan 26, 2025 ODU 7452 CCU
Jan 13, 2024 CCU 7975 ODU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ODU CCU
Overall 7-25 9-22
Conference 3-15 5-13
Home 5-10 7-11
Away 1-12 1-9
Neutral 1-3 1-2
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 70.9 71.8
Avg Pts Against 77.6 79.4
Massey -6.5 (#279) -9.1 (#314)
Bradley-Terry -1.83 (#326) -1.82 (#324)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.83 (#309) -2.08 (#318)
RPI 0.411 (#329) 0.400 (#338)
Shooting & Four Factors ODU CCU
FG% 42.2% 44.3%
3PT% 31.5% 32.5%
REB / G 34.7 39.3
OREB / G 9.8 11.1
AST / TO 0.94 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.7% 49.7%
TOV% 15.2% 18.6%
ORB% 25.2% 30.4%
FT Rate 17.3% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 12.9%
DRB% 68.4% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 27.8% 20.6%

Game Analysis

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