Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | TOW -320 HAMP +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -6.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -5.4 (-2.4) | 134.5 (+12.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -7.7 (-4.7) | 133.4 (+13.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -5.0 (-2.0) | 132.2 (+14.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -5.2 (-2.2) | 134.0 (+13.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TOW 74 – 68 HAMP |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TOW 82 – 50 HAMP |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HAMP 63 – 62 TOW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HAMP 67 – 61 TOW |
| Feb 9, 2023 | TOW 86 – 72 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#156) | -3.1 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#117) | -0.47 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#129) | -0.56 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#66) | 0.492 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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