Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | TOW -1400 HAMP +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +14 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -17.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -12.1 (+1.9) | 141.7 (+16.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -16.6 (-2.6) | 139.7 (+18.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -13.3 (+0.7) | 142.1 (+15.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -13.4 (+0.6) | 141.4 (+16.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TOW 74 – 68 HAMP |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TOW 82 – 50 HAMP |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HAMP 63 – 62 TOW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TOW 75 – 72 HAMP |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HAMP 67 – 61 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-2 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#146) | -12.6 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#126) | -1.93 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#129) | -2.50 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#151) | 0.407 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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