Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | TOW -340 HAMP +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -6.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -4.8 (+1.2) | 128.7 (+13.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -4.5 (+1.5) | 128.6 (+13.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -5.0 (+1.0) | 128.6 (+13.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -5.0 (+1.0) | 126.4 (+15.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | TOW 82 – 50 HAMP |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HAMP 63 – 62 TOW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TOW 75 – 72 HAMP |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HAMP 67 – 61 TOW |
| Feb 9, 2023 | TOW 86 – 72 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#170) | -6.4 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#161) | -1.09 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#168) | -1.45 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#112) | 0.445 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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