Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +240 TOW -298 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +1 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -3.3 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -3.5 (+4.5) | 131.5 (-6.5) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -4.3 (+5.3) | 133.2 (-8.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -2.6 (+3.6) | 133.8 (-8.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -2.2 (+3.2) | 133.3 (-8.3) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TOW 74 – 68 HAMP |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TOW 82 – 50 HAMP |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TOW 75 – 72 HAMP |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HAMP 67 – 61 TOW |
| Feb 9, 2023 | TOW 86 – 72 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-12 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#262) | 1.2 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#278) | 0.90 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#287) | 1.09 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#311) | 0.564 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 33.6% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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