Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +550 TOW -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +6 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -13.1 (+19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -11.9 (+17.9) | 132.7 (-4.7) | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -12.6 (+18.6) | 133.9 (-5.9) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -11.6 (+17.6) | 133.3 (-5.3) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -11.2 (+17.2) | 133.9 (-5.9) | 16% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TOW 74 – 68 HAMP |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TOW 82 – 50 HAMP |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HAMP 63 – 62 TOW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TOW 75 – 72 HAMP |
| Feb 9, 2023 | TOW 86 – 72 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-9 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-6 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 64.2 |
| Massey | -15.0 (#351) | 1.5 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#356) | 0.37 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.76 (#357) | 0.33 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#359) | 0.525 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 39.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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