Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | FIU +140 JXST -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -4.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -3.9 (-1.1) | 134.2 (+28.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -4.3 (-0.7) | 134.9 (+28.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -4.2 (-0.8) | 136.6 (+26.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -4.1 (-0.9) | 133.9 (+29.1) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | JXST 78 – 74 FIU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | JXST 71 – 64 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JXST 65 – 56 FIU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | JXST 71 – 67 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FIU 76 – 67 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#249) | 2.5 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#284) | 0.94 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#260) | 0.99 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#329) | 0.559 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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