Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -340 FIU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -7.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -6.9 (+2.1) | 134.2 (-13.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -6.2 (+2.8) | 133.3 (-12.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -7.2 (+1.8) | 135.4 (-14.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -6.8 (+2.2) | 134.2 (-13.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | JXST 78 – 74 FIU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | JXST 71 – 64 FIU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JXST 84 – 79 FIU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | JXST 71 – 67 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FIU 76 – 67 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#130) | -5.4 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#106) | -1.16 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#110) | -1.25 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#83) | 0.412 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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