Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -185 JXST +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -5.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -4.0 (-8.0) | 141.0 (+11.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -3.4 (-7.4) | 141.7 (+10.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -3.7 (-7.7) | 142.9 (+9.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -3.7 (-7.7) | 141.6 (+10.4) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | JXST 71 – 64 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JXST 65 – 56 FIU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JXST 84 – 79 FIU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | JXST 71 – 67 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FIU 76 – 67 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#184) | -3.4 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#225) | -0.61 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#216) | -0.67 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#213) | 0.474 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 62.6% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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