Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -300 FIU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -10.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -8.7 (-4.7) | 137.2 (+0.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -9.0 (-5.0) | 135.8 (+2.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -9.9 (-5.9) | 136.1 (+1.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -9.3 (-5.3) | 137.5 (+0.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | JXST 78 – 74 FIU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | JXST 71 – 64 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JXST 65 – 56 FIU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JXST 84 – 79 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FIU 76 – 67 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#132) | -5.0 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#107) | -1.41 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#113) | -1.48 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#76) | 0.415 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.1% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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