Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -135 MTSU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +1 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -0.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -0.7 (-1.7) | 146.9 (+4.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -1.4 (-2.4) | 144.8 (+6.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -1.1 (-2.1) | 145.3 (+5.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -0.3 (-1.3) | 147.2 (+3.8) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MTSU 77 – 67 UTEP |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTEP 83 – 80 MTSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MTSU 71 – 68 UTEP |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MTSU 96 – 90 UTEP |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UTEP 73 – 59 MTSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#149) | 3.0 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#125) | 1.15 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#150) | 1.04 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#126) | 0.575 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.