Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP +154 MTSU -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -7.8 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+29.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -8.3 (+11.3) | 134.0 (+29.0) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -7.7 (+10.7) | 133.9 (+29.1) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -8.1 (+11.1) | 132.0 (+31.0) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -8.2 (+11.2) | 133.5 (+29.5) | 22% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MTSU 77 – 67 UTEP |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MTSU 76 – 75 UTEP |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MTSU 71 – 68 UTEP |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MTSU 96 – 90 UTEP |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UTEP 73 – 59 MTSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#263) | 5.2 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#333) | 1.05 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#288) | 1.09 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#316) | 0.587 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.