Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MISS -340 OU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +3 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -7.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -6.4 (-3.4) | 151.8 (+19.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -6.6 (-3.6) | 151.1 (+19.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -6.3 (-3.3) | 153.0 (+18.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -7.0 (-4.0) | 152.5 (+18.5) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | OU 86 – 70 MISS |
| Nov 27, 2022 | OU 59 – 55 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#30) | 11.2 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#13) | 2.48 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.04 (#10) | 3.19 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#23) | 0.559 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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