Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | OU -150 MISS +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +4 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | OU -3.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -1.7 (+2.3) | 126.3 (-12.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -1.4 (+2.6) | 124.5 (-10.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -1.9 (+2.1) | 129.5 (-15.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -1.8 (+2.2) | 129.0 (-15.0) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | OU 86 – 70 MISS |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MISS 87 – 84 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-7 | 7-10 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#44) | 5.7 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#41) | 3.05 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.18 (#25) | 4.84 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#57) | 0.651 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 41.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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