Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | WASH +100 IU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +16 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -3.3 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -2.4 (-13.6) | 147.2 (-7.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -2.6 (-13.4) | 146.8 (-6.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -2.0 (-14.0) | 148.4 (-8.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -2.7 (-13.3) | 148.4 (-8.4) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2026 | IU 90 – 80 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#97) | 11.3 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#92) | 1.93 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#87) | 2.50 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#147) | 0.579 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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