Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Southland Conference · UTRGV Fieldhouse · March 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RGV -10.5 Away covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money RGV -700 / UNO +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total RGV win
Actual RGV +10 166 Won
Massey RGV -11.6 (-1.6)
Massey Totals 158.2 (+7.8)
Bradley-Terry 88%
Weighted B-T 91%
Efficiency Plus ML RGV -10.2 (-0.2) 154.9 (+11.1) 84%
Baseline Tuned ML RGV -10.6 (-0.6) 151.1 (+14.9) 85%
Baseline ML RGV -10.2 (-0.2) 153.2 (+12.8) 85%
Baseline Plus ML RGV -10.0 (-0.0) 154.1 (+11.9) 84%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 RGV 9576 UNO
Dec 30, 2025 UNO 8569 RGV
Jan 4, 2025 RGV 7664 UNO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RGV UNO
Overall 16-15 4-27
Conference 8-12 2-18
Home 12-4 0-11
Away 2-11 3-15
Neutral 2-0 1-1
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak W2 L13
Avg Pts For 74.1 67.9
Avg Pts Against 76.8 82.5
Massey -4.5 (#239) -12.9 (#346)
Bradley-Terry -1.01 (#262) -2.46 (#349)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.19 (#258) -2.83 (#340)
RPI 0.455 (#270) 0.414 (#328)
Shooting & Four Factors RGV UNO
FG% 43.6% 41.3%
3PT% 31.0% 30.7%
REB / G 35.0 35.4
OREB / G 11.3 11.8
AST / TO 1.11 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 46.1%
TOV% 19.1% 19.0%
ORB% 30.7% 31.2%
FT Rate 16.2% 22.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 54.3%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 16.2%
DRB% 66.7% 64.0%
Opp FT Rate 22.3% 19.2%

Game Analysis

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