Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | RGV -258 UNO +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNO +16 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | RGV -10.7 (-26.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -8.0 (-24.0) | 146.2 (+7.8) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -7.4 (-23.4) | 145.1 (+8.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -7.9 (-23.9) | 144.5 (+9.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -8.1 (-24.1) | 144.6 (+9.4) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | RGV 95 – 76 UNO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | RGV 88 – 78 UNO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RGV 76 – 64 UNO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-8 | 12-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 9-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#137) | -4.2 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#188) | -0.46 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#175) | -0.75 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#165) | 0.505 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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