Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | GASO -240 GAST +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +1 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -4.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -2.9 (-1.9) | 152.0 (-1.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -2.8 (-1.8) | 154.1 (-3.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -2.6 (-1.6) | 154.2 (-3.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -2.6 (-1.6) | 153.4 (-2.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | GAST 66 – 64 GASO |
| Dec 19, 2025 | GASO 90 – 67 GAST |
| Mar 6, 2025 | GAST 80 – 71 GASO |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GAST 82 – 78 GASO |
| Jan 20, 2024 | GASO 86 – 70 GAST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#260) | -6.8 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#222) | -0.95 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#246) | -1.34 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#217) | 0.463 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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