Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | GASO -520 GAST +390 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +23 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -13.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -10.2 (+12.8) | 148.8 (+8.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -9.0 (+14.0) | 153.4 (+3.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -10.2 (+12.8) | 154.2 (+2.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -9.5 (+13.5) | 149.6 (+7.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | GAST 66 – 64 GASO |
| Mar 6, 2025 | GAST 80 – 71 GASO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | GASO 76 – 75 GAST |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GAST 82 – 78 GASO |
| Jan 20, 2024 | GASO 86 – 70 GAST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#239) | -13.5 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#209) | -2.72 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#244) | -3.51 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#245) | 0.363 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 33.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 25.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 39.7% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.