And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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75–47 on winners spread MAE 9.1 122 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ Kansas +7.0 154.5 81% 62–80 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Dayton +16.7 139.4 90% 51–78 ✓
Marquette @ DePaul +5.7 139.5 70% 75–80 ✓
Ohio @ Ball State -4.6 143.1 33% 71–76 ✗
Colorado State @ Boise State +4.4 138.6 71% 73–79 ✓
UConn @ Georgetown -12.0 145.1 16% 64–62 ✓
Minnesota @ Illinois +16.8 136.7 89% 67–77 ✓
Virginia @ SMU +1.5 152.4 56% 72–68 ✗
Kentucky @ Tennessee +5.0 147.4 75% 80–78 ✗
Butler @ Seton Hall +5.8 139.2 74% 77–66 ✗
Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech +5.0 141.7 73% 76–89 ✓
Georgia Tech @ NC State +18.9 153.2 90% 78–74 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Canisius +0.6 132.5 47% 78–68 ✗
Elon @ Hofstra +8.4 148.0 79% 89–85 ✗
Duquesne @ Fordham +0.6 145.2 51% 74–63 ✗
Alabama @ Oklahoma -6.6 170.6 27% 83–81 ✓
UCLA @ Ohio State +5.0 144.2 73% 74–86 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lafayette -0.9 135.6 44% 55–74 ✗
Boston University @ Loyola Maryland -3.0 147.7 37% 57–74 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green +8.1 138.8 79% 79–85 ✓
Buffalo @ Miami (OH) +13.0 156.9 87% 102–105 ✓
Wagner @ New Haven +0.3 132.1 51% 74–80 ✓
Chattanooga @ Western Carolina +2.2 146.4 67% 90–82 ✗
Old Dominion @ App State +4.3 136.1 66% 75–73 ✗
Iowa State @ Cincinnati -8.0 139.0 23% 70–79 ✗
Florida @ Vanderbilt +4.9 160.4 68% 98–94 ✗
Bradley @ Illinois State +5.9 145.0 72% 62–88 ✓
Bucknell @ Colgate +10.6 135.8 84% 76–95 ✓
TCU @ Utah -7.5 152.0 26% 79–82 ✗
Rutgers @ Wisconsin +13.5 149.6 86% 87–96 ✓
Iowa @ Indiana +1.8 140.9 60% 74–57 ✗
Winthrop @ UNC Asheville -2.1 148.5 37% 69–67 ✓
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb -7.7 137.1 22% 92–55 ✓
Rider @ Saint Peter's +10.8 131.2 84% 58–69 ✓
Syracuse @ Boston College -4.4 134.9 35% 73–81 ✗
Navy @ Lehigh -4.1 137.1 34% 82–79 ✓
Columbia @ Brown -4.0 136.5 37% 80–86 ✗
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ North Dakota State +3.6 149.0 64% 65–68 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota -0.0 158.2 54% 80–96 ✗
Cornell @ Yale +14.6 164.1 85% 68–102 ✓
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State -7.0 150.4 33% 78–80 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ IU Indianapolis -0.3 160.5 53% 80–77 ✓
Western Michigan @ Akron +15.6 158.5 89% 89–104 ✓
Fairfield @ Marist +9.9 135.8 82% 67–82 ✓
Siena @ Manhattan -6.7 140.5 28% 74–59 ✓
Princeton @ Harvard +5.4 133.8 72% 80–87 ✓
Stonehill @ Mercyhurst +6.2 126.3 73% 62–57 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis -8.9 140.6 21% 98–90 ✓
Le Moyne @ Chicago State -3.9 140.3 40% 72–57 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Samford -5.2 144.1 27% 76–75 ✓
West Georgia @ Florida Gulf Coast +8.5 155.0 78% 72–90 ✓
Queens University @ Stetson -8.6 154.8 23% 87–81 ✓
North Florida @ Central Arkansas +10.4 156.6 85% 69–98 ✓
Sam Houston @ Florida International -0.8 158.0 47% 76–63 ✓
New Mexico State @ Delaware -6.4 134.0 25% 97–68 ✓
Miami @ Clemson +4.5 141.6 71% 59–69 ✓
Utah State @ Grand Canyon -5.1 141.9 31% 74–84 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ La Salle -2.5 141.4 40% 74–78 ✗
Longwood @ Radford +1.8 154.3 63% 83–85 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso -2.0 129.7 37% 44–54 ✗
Drake @ UIC +2.8 139.7 65% 67–74 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Merrimack -1.6 135.2 41% 71–83 ✗
Massachusetts @ Northern Illinois -6.5 149.1 30% 68–70 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Dartmouth +1.9 153.0 60% 84–74 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern +3.5 155.7 66% 79–75 ✗
Jacksonville @ North Alabama +0.4 132.8 53% 90–68 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Western Kentucky +5.7 160.8 76% 81–65 ✗
UTEP @ Liberty +11.9 135.7 85% 69–80 ✓
Georgia State @ UL Monroe -3.7 152.9 37% 77–57 ✓
Missouri @ LSU +5.4 149.6 71% 70–78 ✓
Arizona @ UCF -8.1 158.8 23% 84–77 ✓
Michigan @ Oregon -17.8 153.2 13% 81–71 ✓
Nebraska @ Northwestern -5.2 144.1 28% 77–58 ✓
North Carolina @ California -1.4 144.0 45% 78–84 ✗
Arkansas @ Georgia +4.0 174.4 64% 76–90 ✓
Indiana State @ Murray State +13.8 160.1 87% 81–85 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State +0.8 148.8 50% 72–71 ✗
Richmond @ Saint Louis +15.5 156.6 86% 63–88 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Jackson State -3.5 156.2 38% 78–82 ✗
Nevada @ Air Force -14.8 133.1 13% 81–66 ✓
Charleston @ Stony Brook -1.2 135.0 41% 106–112 ✗
Mercer @ UNC Greensboro -8.6 155.5 22% 102–92 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Bakersfield -9.7 144.8 20% 83–62 ✓
Lamar @ Nicholls +2.9 136.2 62% 90–80 ✗
Louisiana @ South Alabama +10.1 131.6 81% 59–56 ✗
James Madison @ Marshall +7.1 149.7 78% 72–77 ✓
Morehead State @ Tennessee Tech +0.3 141.0 49% 76–70 ✗
Western Illinois @ Little Rock +8.0 133.6 78% 79–86 ✓
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +6.3 135.1 72% 74–86 ✓
Howard @ North Carolina Central -2.5 135.9 35% 83–69 ✓
Norfolk State @ South Carolina State -6.4 135.2 20% 89–82 ✓
Morgan State @ Delaware State +2.3 130.0 56% 80–79 ✗
Coppin State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +12.7 134.3 88% 67–70 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +8.0 130.8 72% 56–68 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Houston Christian +3.0 134.4 56% 70–81 ✓
Arkansas State @ Troy +4.6 159.6 69% 74–99 ✓
Southern Miss @ Texas State -1.7 143.2 43% 67–74 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Tennessee State +9.2 149.2 82% 67–73 ✓
Lindenwood @ UT Martin +4.9 140.2 70% 55–69 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State +4.0 139.9 66% 68–55 ✗
UNLV @ San José State -0.6 149.3 45% 76–62 ✓
Southern @ Grambling +4.7 152.1 63% 71–53 ✗
Wofford @ Furman +6.7 145.7 77% 74–70 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC Davis -0.1 145.7 48% 72–75 ✗
Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word +7.5 136.6 77% 74–76 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Portland State +11.4 143.2 86% 52–63 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Jacksonville State +3.1 128.1 57% 60–64 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota State +11.8 147.8 85% 62–90 ✓
McNeese @ UT Rio Grande Valley -9.3 140.6 19% 76–79 ✗
Purdue @ USC -6.6 153.1 26% 69–64 ✓
Duke @ Stanford -9.5 143.3 23% 80–50 ✓
Michigan State @ Washington -2.5 138.3 36% 80–63 ✓
Pacific @ Oregon State -2.1 139.0 40% 81–64 ✓
Colorado @ West Virginia +4.6 142.8 67% 61–72 ✓
Wake Forest @ Florida State -3.1 158.2 43% 69–68 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ New Orleans -7.3 141.7 22% 84–79 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho State +10.1 151.7 83% 84–66 ✗
Texas A&M @ Texas +4.5 167.4 70% 74–70 ✗
South Carolina @ Auburn +12.7 153.1 82% 67–71 ✓
Missouri State @ Middle Tennessee +9.0 136.9 83% 87–90 ✓
Florida A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +3.2 151.4 70% 71–67 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi Valley State -12.1 142.5 14% 79–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.