Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–12 on winners spread MAE 8.2 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Youngstown State @ Wright State +8.7 142.6 79% 83–93 ✓
Oakland @ Milwaukee -1.5 159.7 44% 73–60 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +9.0 152.8 78% 71–96 ✓
Green Bay @ Cleveland State -5.6 146.0 34% 88–73 ✓
Maine @ Vermont +12.4 130.7 87% 62–67 ✓
Elon @ Northeastern -0.0 158.9 49% 78–85 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ William & Mary +10.4 150.8 85% 89–97 ✓
Drexel @ Monmouth +4.5 130.8 70% 73–51 ✗
Hofstra @ Stony Brook -8.0 132.2 21% 71–76 ✗
The Citadel @ UNC Greensboro +9.0 146.3 84% 66–69 ✓
Old Dominion @ Georgia Southern +3.3 156.8 66% 84–87 ✓
West Georgia @ Stetson -1.0 148.3 47% 86–95 ✗
Queens University @ Florida Gulf Coast +2.3 160.1 61% 85–74 ✗
North Florida @ North Alabama +8.5 147.6 79% 105–91 ✗
UTEP @ Delaware +1.4 129.8 52% 70–69 ✗
Jacksonville @ Central Arkansas +7.0 137.8 75% 60–62 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota +7.3 151.3 78% 83–99 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ North Dakota -7.3 149.4 22% 91–80 ✓
Charleston @ Towson +1.4 135.4 54% 52–61 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama +0.5 149.4 49% 87–91 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay +10.0 148.1 84% 72–74 ✓
Bellarmine @ Lipscomb +10.4 153.6 84% 71–81 ✓
California Baptist @ Abilene Christian +0.0 134.8 44% 74–58 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin +8.4 130.8 78% 59–65 ✓
Morehead State @ Tennessee State +8.4 142.3 79% 100–105 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Little Rock +1.2 133.7 51% 63–74 ✓
Tarleton State @ Southern Utah -10.3 146.9 20% 105–106 ✗
Wichita State @ Florida Atlantic +3.7 149.8 67% 67–85 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis +4.4 160.5 72% 69–74 ✓
Idaho @ Idaho State +3.7 146.3 66% 68–76 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Weber State +8.8 157.3 83% 80–91 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Tennessee Tech +5.0 141.6 64% 71–54 ✗
Lindenwood @ Southeast Missouri State +3.8 150.2 65% 88–76 ✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Tech -0.4 135.1 43% 56–52 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Bakersfield -2.8 146.8 41% 75–69 ✓
San Diego @ Seattle U +9.0 143.8 82% 64–75 ✓
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State +3.7 144.4 69% 73–88 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal Poly -8.4 147.9 21% 86–66 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC San Diego +12.2 155.4 86% 84–79 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Portland State +5.1 155.3 72% 73–76 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State +1.0 145.8 55% 69–83 ✓
Gonzaga @ Washington State -16.8 152.1 13% 86–65 ✓
Creighton @ Providence +0.1 158.2 47% 88–93 ✓
Toledo @ Kent State +2.1 161.0 64% 84–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.