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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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85–34 on winners spread MAE 9.7 119 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Michigan @ Purdue -1.5 132.2 51% 70–53 ✓
Kennesaw State @ North Florida +5.1 133.8 71% 54–69 ✓
Marist @ Rider +0.1 131.5 49% 64–76 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Siena +4.7 136.7 61% 68–62 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris +1.9 135.5 49% 81–76 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Oakland +0.4 151.2 56% 81–86 ✓
Jacksonville @ North Alabama +2.6 136.1 63% 81–82 ✓
Stetson @ Bellarmine +3.1 133.7 59% 62–67 ✓
Texas State @ UL Monroe -4.2 129.1 25% 57–47 ✓
Little Rock @ UT Arlington +0.7 141.7 56% 66–59 ✗
Arkansas State @ Louisiana +9.0 143.4 81% 68–81 ✓
Georgia Southern @ South Alabama +4.9 137.1 62% 84–75 ✗
Marshall @ Florida International -5.7 153.6 29% 79–66 ✓
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +2.2 125.8 58% 53–66 ✓
Southern Miss @ UTSA +1.2 141.0 57% 64–70 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge -4.3 141.9 29% 105–58 ✓
UC Davis @ UC San Diego -4.6 145.6 35% 69–89 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside +4.5 126.2 55% 47–45 ✗
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +15.1 131.9 89% 49–68 ✓
Rice @ UAB +10.7 141.1 84% 68–78 ✓
Nevada @ Wyoming -2.0 146.7 42% 64–71 ✗
South Dakota @ Western Illinois -8.4 142.9 21% 65–60 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb +4.7 137.6 63% 79–69 ✗
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton -1.1 145.8 54% 67–83 ✗
Denver @ North Dakota State +14.1 138.8 89% 58–70 ✓
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +10.3 142.5 85% 73–92 ✓
San Diego State @ Air Force -14.1 126.0 13% 98–61 ✓
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State +3.1 130.7 65% 53–64 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ UTEP +0.7 137.3 57% 74–82 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Utah Tech -11.4 136.7 16% 77–74 ✓
Houston @ Temple -11.1 130.9 19% 68–51 ✓
Kansas @ Oklahoma +1.0 140.2 62% 68–75 ✓
UConn @ Creighton +3.4 140.8 66% 66–74 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Syracuse +2.7 141.0 67% 60–78 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ American University +1.5 138.3 62% 70–71 ✓
Auburn @ South Carolina +2.0 150.3 58% 109–86 ✗
Wright State @ IU Indianapolis -13.3 146.2 17% 100–72 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga -0.8 141.1 40% 74–66 ✓
Kent State @ Toledo +3.2 153.7 71% 74–76 ✓
James Madison @ Northeastern +4.0 138.6 67% 63–72 ✓
George Mason @ Saint Joseph's -0.6 149.6 41% 71–62 ✓
Drexel @ William & Mary -2.4 132.0 36% 79–64 ✓
Norfolk State @ Coppin State -2.2 149.4 48% 71–81 ✗
Arkansas @ Vanderbilt -9.2 152.2 26% 92–71 ✓
Delaware @ UNC Wilmington +5.7 135.1 77% 70–77 ✓
Ball State @ Ohio +4.0 151.6 70% 77–85 ✓
Baylor @ Oklahoma State -7.1 144.9 20% 81–66 ✓
Maryland @ Minnesota +4.5 141.9 65% 63–49 ✗
Stony Brook @ NJIT +2.6 138.5 63% 65–74 ✓
SMU @ UCF -0.9 136.1 47% 78–65 ✓
San José State @ New Mexico +7.5 134.6 75% 83–71 ✗
NC State @ North Carolina +5.2 145.4 70% 76–86 ✓
Lehigh @ Holy Cross +5.5 143.1 65% 75–72 ✗
Florida @ Georgia -2.5 149.5 42% 92–84 ✓
UAlbany @ New Hampshire +1.8 132.3 60% 64–71 ✓
Marshall @ Florida International -6.0 153.1 28% 89–72 ✓
VMI @ Mercer +6.3 155.3 76% 80–83 ✓
Towson @ Hofstra +3.6 140.1 65% 58–71 ✓
Weber State @ Southern Utah -2.4 152.2 46% 72–77 ✗
Montana State @ Northern Arizona -5.3 133.0 31% 58–53 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado -0.9 145.0 44% 82–76 ✓
Montana @ Sacramento State +0.3 124.1 54% 83–89 ✓
Providence @ Villanova +8.8 143.5 83% 56–71 ✓
La Salle @ Richmond +10.7 143.7 83% 84–78 ✗
Army @ Navy +2.6 135.2 60% 62–69 ✓
Clemson @ Florida State +5.5 135.6 76% 61–80 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word +3.0 134.9 69% 53–72 ✓
Troy @ Coastal Carolina +11.1 138.2 84% 65–70 ✓
Southern @ Alabama A&M +3.8 145.1 73% 58–68 ✓
Idaho State @ Portland State +0.8 127.7 60% 43–69 ✓
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss +7.9 124.6 78% 50–61 ✓
Ohio State @ Wisconsin +2.7 134.9 66% 74–62 ✗
West Virginia @ Kansas State -9.2 135.3 19% 69–47 ✓
Utah Valley @ St. John's +8.2 152.9 76% 78–96 ✓
Niagara @ Quinnipiac -0.8 133.0 46% 69–78 ✗
Duke @ Louisville +4.6 138.9 68% 65–70 ✓
Boston University @ Lafayette +10.7 147.3 83% 81–76 ✗
UT Martin @ Morehead State +13.8 132.7 88% 44–76 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Abilene Christian +15.0 139.2 87% 58–93 ✓
Georgia State @ App State -0.6 148.0 54% 61–74 ✗
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +2.1 124.5 57% 74–71 ✗
Southern Miss @ UTSA +1.2 140.1 56% 72–78 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -13.7 132.6 15% 77–31 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wofford +8.8 150.6 80% 78–91 ✓
Furman @ East Tennessee State -1.2 144.1 48% 62–71 ✗
Dayton @ VCU +6.3 133.3 76% 43–66 ✓
UCLA @ Stanford +0.1 140.8 52% 72–73 ✓
Kennesaw State @ North Florida +4.9 132.8 67% 65–68 ✓
Northwestern State @ SE Louisiana +2.7 146.3 55% 73–68 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Green Bay +0.5 151.8 59% 72–87 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris +2.0 135.0 51% 79–74 ✗
UIC @ Youngstown State +1.2 143.1 62% 77–85 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Oakland +0.4 151.2 56% 82–72 ✗
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State +3.2 130.3 67% 81–80 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State -0.7 140.5 46% 54–65 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Belmont +11.6 148.4 85% 62–114 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Austin Peay -0.1 139.2 48% 76–70 ✓
Stetson @ Bellarmine +3.0 131.1 61% 65–76 ✓
Texas State @ UL Monroe -4.3 129.3 24% 69–63 ✓
Georgia Southern @ South Alabama +4.9 137.9 62% 48–62 ✓
Arkansas State @ Louisiana +9.0 144.0 81% 74–77 ✓
Little Rock @ UT Arlington +0.7 141.5 55% 61–66 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee -7.7 131.3 19% 82–67 ✓
Rice @ UAB +10.5 140.3 84% 74–86 ✓
San Diego @ Portland -0.2 147.2 46% 78–70 ✓
Jackson State @ Grambling +5.1 128.0 54% 75–61 ✗
Akron @ Western Michigan -6.7 138.9 26% 79–68 ✓
UC Davis @ UC San Diego -4.3 146.1 33% 78–71 ✓
Lamar @ Stephen F. Austin +12.6 144.8 86% 72–102 ✓
Alcorn State @ Alabama State +0.4 129.6 39% 57–52 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Eastern Michigan -4.6 138.9 32% 85–63 ✓
Mississippi State @ Alabama +11.6 148.9 86% 73–81 ✓
Valparaiso @ Illinois State +3.4 134.5 60% 69–60 ✗
DePaul @ Marquette +8.6 139.3 79% 68–61 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Nicholls +7.2 147.9 72% 62–86 ✓
McNeese @ Houston Christian +8.2 154.1 64% 74–71 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest -1.1 137.7 49% 75–76 ✗
LSU @ Kentucky -2.7 144.7 44% 69–82 ✗
Texas Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -9.6 139.0 19% 66–57 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.