Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -175 SPU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +6 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -5.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -5.7 (-11.7) | 137.9 (-7.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -4.7 (-10.7) | 136.7 (-6.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -6.2 (-12.2) | 137.3 (-7.3) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -5.9 (-11.9) | 136.7 (-6.7) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SIE 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SPU 70 – 65 SIE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIE 77 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SPU 75 – 53 SIE |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SPU 63 – 52 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-5 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 6-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 61.5 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#127) | -0.0 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#34) | 0.52 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#41) | 0.57 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#37) | 0.548 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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